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Pulitzer Winner: Sequester ‘Not That Big a Deal,’ But May Stir S.D. Recession

Former U-T writer Dean Calbreath sees possible $7.5 billion hit to the San Diego County economy.

Despite “scary talk” in Washington, the federal budget sequester “isn’t that big a deal,” says Dean Calbreath, the Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist and longtime economics reporter.

Speaking at the La Mesa Foothills Democratic Club meeting Wednesday night, Calbreath says he finds himself agreeing with members of Congress, including Republicans, who say automatic spending cuts aren’t as dire as depicted.

In fact, cuts in the defense budget, “which is usually sacrosanct,” could be a positive development, he said, even though in San Diego County its effects are three times that of the nation overall.

With 20,000 civilian defense workers in San Diego County, he said, thousands of layoffs are already in the works, and with a “multiplier effect” on other parts of the region, the economic loss here may be $2.5 billion this year and $5 billion in 2014.

That, he told a crowd of 90 at the La Mesa Community Center, could put San Diego County “back into the recession.”

How would a 2 percent cut in social programs pan out under the sequester?

Calbreath, who worked 15 years for The San Diego Union-Tribune, said GOP efforts in Washington are under way to change how cuts are made to the Pentagon.

A similar attempt to modify social-program cuts may be made by Democrats, he said.

In any case, the sequester is a bad idea, said Calbreath, 57, a resident of Kensington.

“I think this is terrible timing,” he said in a 17-minute talk followed by questions and answers. “You never want to do deep cuts in the budget” when the economy is weak.

Efforts in the White House to portray the sequester as a meat ax aimed at preschoolers and other children’s programs are “an element of scare tactics,” he said.

It’s a “way of getting voters outraged, stir up voter resentment,” said Calbreath, part of the team that won a 2006 Pulitzer for exposing Rep. Randy “Duke” Cunningham in a system of bribe-taking to benefit defense contractors.

With an audience of mostly middle-agers and older Democrats, several questions addressed Social Security and Medicare (which are not part of the sequester, Calbreath noted).

But Calbreath said those programs mainly for the elderly are, in fact, entitlements—since people paid into those programs and are entitled to reap their benefits.

“Entitlement has been turned into a bad word,” he said, expressing surprise at what he called 1984-ish irony.

Asked about San Diego Mayor Bob Filner and his battles with the downtown hotel industry and City Attorney Jan Goldsmith, Calbreath said he sympathized with the new Democratic mayor.

“The problem is he comes off as bull in a china shop,” said Calbreath, who has worked at the San Diego Daily Transcript since January. He “unnecessarily angers people.”

When Filner and Goldsmith accused each other of being a Mike Aguirre—a combative and controversial city attorney under Mayor Jerry Sanders—it prompted Calbreath to contact Aguirre.

Aguirre told Calbreath that it “looks like the worst thing anybody can say in San Diego politics” is to liken someone to himself.

Calbreath quoted Aguirre as saying “you need respect between the mayor and city attorney’s offices.”

Although Goldsmith, the former Poway mayor, may have the Aguirre edge now, Aguirre told Calbreath that the balance may change.

Calbreath quoted Aguirre as saying: “I’m sure both of them will exceed me in the next couple years.”

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Craig Maxwell May 19, 2013 at 05:10 pm
That's the gist of it, both of you. Obama differs from his predecessors not in degree but inRead More kind--qualitatively, not quantitatively. He is our first, true-blue presidential ideologue.
Status Quo May 19, 2013 at 11:15 am
That is correct 'Bat', pathetic attempts by followers of the present charlatan President - keepRead More trying to make, this some sordidly type of "racist" issue... wholly non-existent. In other words, affixing blame in search of a problem, for perceived political gain. The fact is, our President Barack Obama is a bad manager, hiring lousy managers in positions demanding excellence, affording no quarter for ineptitude and deceit! Promotion of figures and public servants as reward for ineptitude, should be punished by laws in-place and not shuffled around to administer more egregious miss-management. Lying to Americans has been perpetrated, by whom is in need of the reveal. The facts are inconsistent with, what has been revealed thus far. On the Muslim issue of the President's proclivity for apologies, it is appeasement at the least and inherent bowing to outrageous power at worst. The optics(hate that word in politics), are not good for America.
Batman May 19, 2013 at 10:36 am
Face it folks, you elected the wrong guy, twice. John Mc Cain is not that impressive, Mitt Romney isRead More a little better, but both of them are leaps and bounds above Mr Obama. At least they are both Americans. Questions have been raised about Obama's place of birth. Where he was born is not the issue. The issue is he is not one of us.
Status Quo May 19, 2013 at 11:18 am
'Bat'... At great individual cost, to be passed on to the consumer.
Batman May 18, 2013 at 04:02 pm
Perhaps the IRS is now in the identity theft business.
Things I Learned May 18, 2013 at 02:56 pm
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_storm_of_1859#Carrington_Super_Flare
Things I Learned May 18, 2013 at 02:55 pm
http://www.space.com/21205-powerful-solar-flare-earth-fallout.html?cmpid=514648
Things I Learned May 18, 2013 at 02:54 pm
"A huge explosion on the sun will deal Earth a glancing blow today (May 17) but should not poseRead More a threat to the planet, scientists say. The sun storm erupted late Tuesday (May 14) during a powerful solar flare — the fourth unleashed by a single sunspot in just 48 hours — and hurled a massive cloud of charged particles out into space at millions of miles an hour."
Status Quo May 19, 2013 at 10:34 am
Why yes 'TIL', I do remember a more vibrant. lively and robust Patch site in the region! Now theRead More Mommy Bloggers are happy, happy, happy*. Patch may or may not be getting what they want, but the tourist rag they are producing is fun for the Mommy Bloggers - they adapt so well. In the early few days of the "transition"... I had prepared comments on positives and negatives, as well suggestions to make San Diego region Patch workable... all for naught and logical lack of interest. Recently... voices of the Grape Nuts... on the left side have called oppositional views "unpatriotic"... though discordant, it isn't like people were allowed to die without expedient help or laws being abridged, abrogated or circumvented. Cry's of "slander" are incorrect, but doesn't prevent those more discordant voices from uttering the tones. I remember when Free Speech reigned in America 'TIL'... I do? Sure the chicks were nice... until they aren't. *ala Phil Robertson
Komfort May 17, 2013 at 03:01 pm
Komfort May 17, 2013 at 02:22 pm
I used to come here for the chicks.
Craig Maxwell May 15, 2013 at 10:35 am
Just imagine how much tax-payer money's been blown on Art's drinking junkets over the last quarterRead More century (and how many sidewalks have been soiled).
Linda McCreight May 16, 2013 at 09:06 am
Rides4Neighbors is a great service. Because I work and travel a lot I cannot always get my motherRead More to her appointments and the folks at Rides4Neighbors are always so helpful and my mom really praises the drivers for their help and friendliness.
JWatson April 20, 2013 at 10:38 am
Mark, they were making that U-Turn to drop off their elementary school children in the red zoneRead More anyway....so the no U-Turn sign kills two birds with one stone: no bad U-Turns + no parking in the red zone. And, we are talking about elementary school children, so safety should have been all those parents first priority.
Mark Gregory Elliott April 18, 2013 at 03:12 pm
It is good to narrow the streets. Pedestrians are road kill in San Diego County. And if drivers doRead More not realize there is not enough room to make a U-turn, they need to retake the driving test instead of going over the curb. This is not rocket science people.
Komfort April 21, 2013 at 12:38 pm
Did S(he) tell you what was "shoddy" about his helping women with their choice?
Stuart Strenger April 20, 2013 at 02:48 pm
I've talked to God, and (S)he definitely supports a woman's right to choose whether she remainsRead More pregnant or not but disapproves of the shoddy way Dr. Gosnell ran his clinic. Surely you see the distinction as well. Medical malpractice is malpractice from any religious or ethical position. By the way, God also said (S)he supports gay marriage.
Komfort April 20, 2013 at 10:51 am
What does your God say about Kermit Gosnell and a woman's right to choose?